The Republican Primary Race Is Filling Up

[ArcadiaGP]

Latest national poll:

Comments Section 39
Rubio 19
Cruz 18

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/us/us02172016_Ut34wgb.pdf

 

[ArcadiaGP]

but seriously, vote for this ****ing clown.

Trump threatening to go back on his "no third-party run" pledge: Trump now threatening to go back on his third-party pledge and run as INDEPENDENT

‘$116,000: DSCC’: Ted Cruz hands out list of Trump’s donations to Dems; Says ‘file the lawsuit’

Trump also doesn't know how debates and running for president works. Threatens to sue Cruz for airing campaign ads that use Trump's own words...

Cruz camp has responded:

 

[Tombs]

He told Cruz not to go on the attack, was even willing to have him as a VP.

Cruz didn't listen. Tough luck for him.

 

[T.Lex]

but seriously, vote for this ****ing clown.
...

Trump also doesn't know how debates and running for president works. Threatens to sue Cruz for airing campaign ads that use Trump's own words...

Cruz camp has responded:...

That is a VERY well written letter, IMO. Worth every billable hour.

 

[T.Lex]

He told Cruz not to go on the attack, was even willing to have him as a VP.

Cruz didn't listen. Tough luck for him.

Yaaaa... I'm going to go out on a limb and suggest that, while Trump probably did ask him not to go on the offensive, it probably wasn't to keep a warm relationship that might lead to a running mate.

Good on Cruz for not taking a liar's word.

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Exclusive: Gov. Haley endorsing Rubio for president | The State

Rubio seems to have the trifecta of SC endorsements (Gowdy/Scott/Haley), similar to Cruz in IA. Wonder if it'll help

 

[T.Lex]

Trump still running ~3x the margin of error in the SC polls. I'm not hopeful about that primary.

Looking big picture, if Cruz delegates + Rubio delegates > Trump delegates, there is still hope. Right now 11+10>17

 

[Landon]

Exclusive: Gov. Haley endorsing Rubio for president | The State

Rubio seems to have the trifecta of SC endorsements (Gowdy/Scott/Haley), similar to Cruz in IA. Wonder if it'll help

I doubt it will. Endorsements don't mean very much in my opinion.

 

[Tombs]

Yaaaa... I'm going to go out on a limb and suggest that, while Trump probably did ask him not to go on the offensive, it probably wasn't to keep a warm relationship that might lead to a running mate.

Good on Cruz for not taking a liar's word.

Probably? Have you watched any of the debates so far?

He specifically told him, in a rather aggressive manner lol. [Source] Then Cruz decided to be a putz and throw the "New York Values" values at him and that relationship went out the window.

[video=youtube;TM6qRl3dSME]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TM6qRl3dSME[/video]

Watch Cruz's eyes, you can see the moment of instant regret.

 

[T.Lex]

haha

What you see as "regret" is more like "well played."

Or, in the kids' vernacular, GG.

 

[Expat]

Trump still running ~3x the margin of error in the SC polls. I'm not hopeful about that primary.

Not just this primary... the way Trump has risen some more in the national polls, I am beginning to lose hope... period.
I just don't know if there will be a difference in who Trump or Hillary would pick for SCOTUS.

 

[Tombs]

Not just this primary... the way Trump has risen some more in the national polls, I am beginning to lose hope... period.
I just don't know if there will be a difference in who Trump or Hillary would pick for SCOTUS.

He named 2 judges he had in mind:
Diane S. Skykes
William H. Pryor Jr

Both were appointed by the George W Bush administration. What qualms do you have exactly?

 

[bmbutch]

My fear or tinfoil hat theory is Trump is a fairly surefire way to get a liberal in the White House, I just don't trust him.

 

[T.Lex]

He named 2 judges he had in mind:
Diane S. Skykes
William H. Pryor Jr

Both were appointed by the George W Bush administration. What qualms do you have exactly?

I practiced briefly before Sykes and do not consider her a conservative. Conservative-leaning, perhaps. (She did well in Ezell.)

But, when you ask about qualms... 2 words: David Souter.

 

[Landon]

Trump still running ~3x the margin of error in the SC polls. I'm not hopeful about that primary.

Looking big picture, if Cruz delegates + Rubio delegates > Trump delegates, there is still hope. Right now 11+10>17

Can you explain your logic there, I'm not following it. If Rubio or Cruz drop out I don't see their delegates going to the other one.

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Can you explain your logic there, I'm not following it. If Rubio or Cruz drop out I don't see their delegates going to the other one.

The current GOP race is pretty much "Trump" vs "Non-Trump". It's assumed that non-Trump candidates will share delegates... as the non-Trump candidates have more in common with each other than they do with Trump, the Democrat.

 

[Tombs]

I practiced briefly before Sykes and do not consider her a conservative. Conservative-leaning, perhaps. (She did well in Ezell.)

But, when you ask about qualms... 2 words: David Souter.

You'll have to school me on David Souter, I'm coming up mostly empty handed looking for good information. The only thing I can find is that he ruled in favor of abortion and apparently didn't want the job.

*edit*
Did finally manage to find this http://www.ontheissues.org/David_Souter.htm seems to be the most telling thing.

 

[Landon]

The current GOP race is pretty much "Trump" vs "Non-Trump". It's assumed that non-Trump candidates will share delegates... as the non-Trump candidates have more in common with each other than they do with Trump, the Democrat.

I don't see Cruz endorsing Rubio, as Cruz has based his whole political career as anti-establishment and to support Rubio would be supporting the establishment.

 

[Tombs]

I don't see Cruz endorsing Rubio, as Cruz has based his whole political career as anti-establishment and to support Rubio would be supporting the establishment.

I see Cruz either running second or first from here on out and Rubio disappearing before long. He's the only person who's going to be competitive with Trump in any capacity.

While I doubt Cruz would give his endorsement to Rubio, I wager that Rubio would throw his endorsement to Cruz.

 

[T.Lex]

The current GOP race is pretty much "Trump" vs "Non-Trump". It's assumed that non-Trump candidates will share delegates... as the non-Trump candidates have more in common with each other than they do with Trump, the Democrat.

GPIahnuhnerhughiffer took up one angle.

To build on his framework, the key is a non-majority; a plurality of votes for any one candidate almost guarantees a brokered convention. In that scenario, I don't see Trump getting the nomination.