This is a real possibility.
When I think of SHTF, I think of WIDESPREAD issues that affect the region, several cities, etc. If a tornado hits my house or a fire destroys it, I have another building that could provide shelter or I could move to a hotel. A tornado is not big enough to wipe out the region (unlike a hurricane which actually can do that).
I'm rural so if there are riots in Chicago, Gary, Indy or South Bend they won't affect me here.
Chemical attack in any of the big cities, again probably won't bother me unless the wind blows over my property, again unlikely, but possible. Ditto a nuclear attack. I'm simply not in the normal prevailing wind patterns, unless a nuke strays and hits Kankakee? Unlikely, perhaps possible.
But if the SHTF in Chicago then those people have to go somewhere. Most will likely bypass me and go to hotels, or cities where there are hotels. I expect many will be on the roads around my property, but few will likely stop here as my road is a dead end so they'd have to get back out. I can easily defend my home, property with what I own. If a couple of neighbors get together (very likely) we'd simply block the road. We have a river as a barrier on one side, heavy woods and rough terrain on 2 other sides. Should be able to make a reasonable stand and I think that would be all it would take to deter the homeless, hapless, unarmed city folk who are fleeing their city.
I see no reason to bug out to anywhere. People may bug in to my house. I'd let relatives/friends in. We've enough room to allow that and they could help guard. That said, I really don't see it happening. Even in war torn nations like Bosnia most people stayed in their communities. I suspect that would likely happen here.
Join me in the simpsons! My ID is the same as here!
However, a major situation regarding a riot or even social melt down is more realistic in our Indiana state, as natural disasters here (from what I have seen) are very mild and destructive to only a small percentage of the Hoosier population. Most of the "disasters" I have seen in Indy cant be fixed with a day's worth of dried food, a minor inconvienience and maybe three hours of battery time for a flashlight. But the underlying current of social pressure rises everyday... That to me is the "S" hitting the fan is when blood is being mixed with the s**t. As far as home invasion, not terribly sure on that. To me that is not SHTF, that is personal catastrophie. UN invasion, seriously? Naw... Not in my lifetime...
