Russian ground troops and MIGs in Syria.

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  • T.Lex

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    Kadyrov agrees.

    DE31163F-BD7B-4B7A-B9B7-0D68CE2584A6_w640_r1_s.jpg
     

    T.Lex

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    This is how you do foreign policy.

    You support a leader who is involved in a civil war. You want your guy to survive in power. You support your guy with military strength. Then you sponsor settlement negotiations with the opposition, from a position of strength.

    Syria war: Lavrov seeks talks with 'full spectrum' of opposition - BBC News

    Syria's ally Russia says there should be talks between the Syrian government and the "full spectrum" of opposition.
    Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov also urged an intensification of efforts to find a political solution to the war.

    Another interesting gambit:
    Mr Peskov said the West had so far failed to identify any "balanced opposition" to Mr Assad that did not have links to jihadists.

    Marginalizes the US and feeds the regional narrative that we formed Daesh.
     

    T.Lex

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    More suckage from the Middle East Regional capitol of Suckistan.

    Turkey confirms shelling Kurdish fighters in Syria - BBC News
    Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu has confirmed that the Turkish military has attacked Kurdish fighters in northern Syria.
    The Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG) said Turkey shot at its forces in the town of Tal Abyad on Sunday.
    The YPG has been a key ally of the US in fighting the so-called Islamic State (IS) group in Syria.
     

    T.Lex

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    This didn't take long.

    Syria conflict: Russia confirms first soldier death - BBC News
    The Russian military has confirmed the death of one of its servicemen in Syria for the first time since it launched its campaign of air strikes last month.

    But wait! Not so fast.
    The defence ministry in Moscow did not identify the soldier, who it said had committed suicide.
    Family members identified him as Vadim Kostenko, 19, a soldier from the southern Krasnodar region, and disputed the official account of his death.

    By the way, for those of you reaching for an atlas or Google maps, I'll save you some trouble. Krasnodar is nestled between the Crimean/Ukraine and Chechnya. To pick 2 areas 'Mericuns might be familiar with.
     

    Thor

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    Could be anywhere
    I wonder at what point our military gets thrown back into the grist mill full strength. It's not quite unwinnable with a proper strategy so not just yet.
     

    T.Lex

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    If you're going to cave, might as well cave early.

    Syria conflict: Powers backing rivals meet in Vienna - BBC News

    One official said it wasn't even a first step towards a peace process, just a tentative bid to seek common ground, with no-one really sure if that is possible.
    Already the United States and its European and Arab allies, plus Turkey, have given some ground on the critical question of President Assad's role in any future process of transition, suggesting that although he would have to step down, it didn't have to be immediately.
     

    T.Lex

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    Russia has reportedly sent missile systems to Syria to prevent possible hijacking of its jets

    Totally strategic.

    "If you try to hijack our planes, we'll shoot them down."

    Its actually really strange. Putin doesn't need a reason to send weapons to Syria, so why pick a dumb one.
     

    pudly

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    Totally strategic.

    "If you try to hijack our planes, we'll shoot them down."

    Its actually really strange. Putin doesn't need a reason to send weapons to Syria, so why pick a dumb one.

    This. It is very likely that ISIS placed a bomb on that plane that recently went down in the Sinai. Hijacking a plane is possible, but not as likely. There are other planes around that the Russians/Syrians might want to shoot down or threaten.
     

    T.Lex

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    Syria crisis: Massive Russian air strikes on 'IS targets' - BBC News

    Putin's pissed.

    Oh, and:
    Meanwhile, Turkey has warned Russia that it must immediately stop bombing "civilian Turkmen villages" in Syria, close to the Turkish border.
    The Russian ambassador to Ankara was summoned to the Turkish foreign ministry to hear the protest.
    Turkey warned that bombing villages populated by the Turkmen minority could lead to "serious consequences".

    Alas, Turkey has little to no leverage.
     

    Thor

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    Could be anywhere
    It's creating an interesting dynamic. What happens when Russian/American/Turkish/Saudi etcetera fighters end up in the same airspace on different missions? It would take very little in the way of a miscalculation to see things go very bad very quickly.

    From post #11.

    And I don't see anyone stepping away from this thing...too bad no one in the admin could see this coming...or maybe that was the plan all along. If these idiots are bright enough to actually have a plan.
     

    T.Lex

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    The UK sends Tornadoes to Syria.
    Syria air strikes: RAF Tornado jets carry out bombing - BBC News
    Four Tornados from RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus took part in the operation soon after MPs voted to approve bombing.
    The "successful" strikes hit the IS-controlled Omar oil fields in eastern Syria, the defence secretary said.

    And yet, deconfliction is tough:
    This morning's newspapers in Damascus reiterate criticism Syrian officials have made for years about the West's engagement here.
    "Britain didn't ask permission from Syria's government," declares the state news agency SANA. "Cameron told lies," it says.
    Syrian officials insist Britain and its allies must follow Russia's example and co-ordinate their campaign with Syrian government forces. If they don't, they warn, they simply won't succeed.
     

    T.Lex

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    Syria conflict: Coalition denies air strike on army camp - BBC News

    "The Syrian Arab Republic strongly condemns this flagrant aggression by the US-led coalition forces, which blatantly violates the objectives of the UN Charter," the foreign ministry warned.
    The ministry called on the UN Security Council to "take urgent measures to prevent such aggressions from occurring again".
    It added that such "aggression hinders the efforts to fight terrorism, and proves that the US-led coalition lacks seriousness and credibility to effectively fight terrorism".
    However, coalition spokesman Col Steve Warren denied it was responsible.
    "We've seen those Syrian reports but we did not conduct any strikes in that part of Deir al-Zour yesterday. So we see no evidence," he told the AFP news agency.

    Here's where the Obama administration is playing checkers to Putin's chess: it does not matter if the report is false. The point is that now (or soon) Syria can forbid any coalition aircraft from using its airspace and ask its ally - Russia - to defend the borders.
     

    T.Lex

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    One look at what Russians think.
    Putin's winter fairy tale - BBC News

    Few Russians hold their president directly responsible for the decisions he takes. That's partly because of the age-old tradition here of respecting the man at the top - the tsar, the emperor, the general secretary, whoever it may be. And, partly, because of Russian television which heaps praise on Vladimir Putin from morning till night.
    ...
    "Vladimir Putin is a great ruler," the cadet tells me. "It's not just Russia that thinks so. But the whole world."
     

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