Colts 2023 A Time To Change

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    Ingomike

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    We have discussed before but was interesting.

    “Why move him and take a chance on an unproven commodity at the quarterback position? History has shown — repeatedly — that it’s a crapshoot at the top of round one.”

    “Here are the No. 1 overall picks at quarterback over the past 50 years: Trevor Lawrence, Joe Burrow, Kyler Murray, Baker Mayfield, Jared Goff, Jameis Winston, Andrew Luck, Cam Newton, Sam Bradford, Matthew Stafford, JaMarcus Russell, Alex Smith, Eli Manning, Carson Palmer, David Carr, Michael Vick, Tim Couch, Peyton Manning, Drew Bledsoe, Jeff George, Troy Aikman, Vinny Testaverde, John Elway, and Steve Bartkowski.”

    “It’s nothing close to a no-brainer that a quarterback taken first in the draft will become a great player. It’s not quite 50-50, but it’s closer to that than 75-25.”


     

    Ingomike

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    1. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson

    2. Raiders quarterback Derek Carr

    3. Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith

    4. Giants quarterback Daniel Jones

    5. Eagles defensive tackle Javon Hargrave

    6. Commanders defensive tackle Daron Payne

    7. Chiefs offensive tackle Orlando Brown

    8. Bucs cornerback Jamel Dean

    9. Eagles safety Chauncey Gardner-Johnson

    10. Bengals safety Jessie Bates

    11. 49ers offensive tackle Mike McGlinchey

    12. Eagles cornerback James Bradberry

    13. 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo

    14. Raiders running back Josh Jacobs

    15. Giants running back Saquon Barkley

    16. Vikings defensive tackle Dalvin Tomlinson

    17. Eagles linebacker T.J. Edwards

    18. Rams linebacker Bobby Wagner

    19. Patriots receiver Jakobi Meyers

    20. Bucs linebacker Lavonte David

    21. Titans linebacker David Long

    22. Saints defensive end Marcus Davenport

    23. Broncos defensive tackle Dre'Mont Jones

    24. Jaguars offensive tackle Jawaan Taylor

    25. Cardinals defensive lineman Zach Allen

    26. Bills linebacker Tremaine Edmunds

    27. Patriots cornerback Jonathan Jones

    28. Eagles defensive lineman Fletcher Cox

    29. Cowboys running back Tony Pollard

    30. Falcons offensive tackle Kaleb McGary

    31. Ravens offensive guard Ben Powers

    32. 49ers edge rusher Charles Omenihu

    33. Rams quarterback Baker Mayfield

    34. Eagles defensive end Brandon Graham

    35. Ravens cornerback Marcus Peters

    36. Packers receiver Allen Lazard

    37. Colts edge rusher Yannick Ngakoue

    38. Jaguars tight end Evan Engram

    39. Lions offensive guard Evan Brown

    40. Bills safety Jordan Poyer

    41. Cowboys tight end Dalton Schultz

    42. Chiefs receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster

    43. Vikings cornerback Patrick Peterson

    44. Bengals linebacker Germaine Pratt

    45. 49ers edge rusher Samson Ebukam

    46. Dolphins tight end Mike Gesicki

    47. Colts linebacker Bobby Okereke

    48. 49ers safety Jimmie Ward

    49. Patriots offensive tackle Isaiah Wynn

    50. Jaguars edge rusher Arden Key

    51. Eagles offensive guard Isaac Seumalo

    52. Bucs cornerback Sean Murphy-Bunting

    53. Free agent receiver Odell Beckham

    54. Texans edge rusher Ogbonnia Okoronkwo

    55. Titans tight end Austin Hooper

    56. Cowboys linebacker Leighton Vander Esch

    57. Titans offensive guard Nate Davis

    58. Saints defensive lineman David Onyemata

    59. Chiefs receiver Mecole Hardman

    60. Giants safety Julian Love

    61. Cardinals cornerback Byron Murphy

    62. Cowboys safety Donovan Wilson

    63. Browns quarterback Jacoby Brissett

    64. Raiders cornerback Rock Ya-Sin

    65. Browns center Ethan Pocic

    66. Broncos linebacker Alex Singleton

    67. Lions receiver D.J. Chark

    68. Dolphins quarterback Teddy Bridgewater

    69. Bengals safety Vonn Bell

    70. Saints receiver Michael Thomas

    71. Rams safety Taylor Rapp

    72. Steelers cornerback Cameron Sutton

    73. Eagles running back Miles Sanders

    74. Chiefs safety Juan Thornhill

    75. Chargers linebacker Drue Tranquill

    76. Jets defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins

    77. Ravens outside linebacker Justin Houston

    78. Chargers outside linebacker Kyle Van Noy

    79. Jets center Connor McGovern

    80. Bengals tight end Hayden Hurst

    81. Raiders offensive tackle Jermaine Eluemunor

    82. Bears running back David Montgomery

    83. Cardinals offensive tackle Kelvin Beachum

    84. 49ers linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair

    85. Broncos offensive guard Dalton Risner

    86. Packers safety Adrian Amos

    87. Colts receiver Parris Campbell

    88. Raiders linebacker Denzel Perryman

    89. Panthers quarterback Sam Darnold

    90. Giants receiver Darius Slayton

    91. Broncos offensive tackle Cameron Fleming

    92. Eagles safety Marcus Epps

    93. Bengals cornerback Eli Apple

    94. Steelers defensive tackle Larry Ogunjobi

    95. Titans defensive end DeMarcus Walker

    96. Raiders defensive end Clelin Ferrell

    97. 49ers cornerback Emmanuel Moseley

    98. Eagles safety Kyzir White

    99. Chargers defensive lineman Morgan Fox

    100. Jets offensive tackle George Fant

    101. Titans defensive end Mario Edwards Jr.


     

    Ingomike

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    Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network’s prime draft analyst, has been doing his homework entering the Combine, and his research team came up with this gem: Since 2011, six teams have traded either into the top five picks of the first round, or higher in the top five, for a quarterback. And on every occasion, the acquiring team overpaid, per the old Jimmy Johnson trade chart. The acquiring teams and QBs:

    2012: Robert Griffin III, second overall to Washington.

    2016: Jared Goff, first overall to the Rams.

    2016: Carson Wentz, second overall to Philadelphia.

    2017: Mitchell Trubisky, second overall to Chicago.

    2018: Sam Darnold, third overall to the Jets.

    2021: Trey Lance, third overall to San Francisco.

    The Bears have the first overall pick in 2023. There are four quarterbacks likely to go in the first half of the first round, and four teams with major quarterback needs in the top nine: Houston (two), Indianapolis (four), Las Vegas (seven) and Carolina (nine). I hear—though it might be smoke—that none of the four wants to scotch-tape a veteran like 39-year-old Aaron Rodgers and probably not Derek Carr. So the Bears, if they’re not going to use the first pick on a quarterback, could get rich quick by using quarterback desperation against these four teams.

    What did the 2022 season teach us about pro football? You need a quarterback to reach the promised land, and you need defenders who can stop the quarterback—edge players, franchise corners. The Bears could just sit at one if they love one of the two best defenders in the class—defensive tackle Jalen Carter of Georgia and edge-rusher Will Anderson Jr. of Alabama. They could sit at one if they’ve fallen out of love—which I doubt—with Justin Fields and want one of the four quarterbacks. Or they could strike a rich deal with a desperate team.

    Recent history, in the form of the overpaid move-ups for quarterbacks since 2012, is on the side of the Bears. As Jeremiah said, trading down with Carolina at nine might net Chicago the ninth overall pick plus a second-round pick this year, and first-rounders in 2024 and ’25—if history holds.

    “It’s an interesting draft,” Jeremiah said Saturday night, “because you don’t have quite the top-end talent at the top of the draft you’ve had in some past drafts But in my conversations around the league, I talk to friends and they’re sitting there saying, ‘How are we gonna stop these quarterbacks?’ You hope you have one of them. But if you don’t, you gotta go find one with the upside that’s at that level. The second question, and this has been in talking to some GMs in their draft meetings, literally the questions are: ‘Is this guy gonna help us get off the field against Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen?’ You’ve got to build your team towards trying to deal with this next generation of star quarterbacks, particularly in the AFC.”

    This week, when quarterbacks Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud, Will Levis and the fascinating Anthony Richardson show up in Indianapolis, the questions will start to get answered. Not a single one is a no-doubt long-term quarterback, but the desperation for the position will cause some intense jockeying for them.

     
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    2012: Robert Griffin III, second overall to Washington.

    2016: Jared Goff, first overall to the Rams.

    2016: Carson Wentz, second overall to Philadelphia.

    2017: Mitchell Trubisky, second overall to Chicago.

    2018: Sam Darnold, third overall to the Jets.

    2021: Trey Lance, third overall to San Francisco.
    Yuck! Goff has been to a Super Bowl, but.....
    Darnold may have been a different player if he'd landed on a solid team, but....
    Trey Lance, with good coaches, appears to be the real deal. But it's also taken a minute for him to find his stride. So whomever we end up with at qb, patience will likely be a virtue for the fans.
     
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    I still think Ballard trades down.

    He’ll say “our guy wasn’t there” or whatever.
    Especially if he could land A A Rod. But really, only Rodgers or Tammy Brady would prevent the masses from storming the gate at 56th St. And since I don't believe either of those qb's will be signed by Indy, I'm guessing the colts will draft a qb at pick four. While I doubt they trade up, it's gonna be tricky 'cause Texans pick ahead of us. If they happen to pick "our guy", then the colts are stuck with their preferred choice of qb in their own division. That would suck. The local sports talkers were referencing a report that says Chicago is actively looking to trade back. I'm not what report they were referring to though.
     

    ChristianPatriot

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    So who do we all want as a “bridge” quarterback next season?

    Ryan, Foles, and Ehlinger will likely all be gone. Maybe you can hide Ehlinger on the practice squad.

    Who’s going to be the starter for half a season while a rookie gets his feet under him?

    Marcus Mariota? Teddy Bridgewater? Tyler Huntley? Gardner Minshew?
     

    Ingomike

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    So who do we all want as a “bridge” quarterback next season?

    Ryan, Foles, and Ehlinger will likely all be gone. Maybe you can hide Ehlinger on the practice squad.

    Who’s going to be the starter for half a season while a rookie gets his feet under him?

    Marcus Mariota? Teddy Bridgewater? Tyler Huntley? Gardner Minshew?
    I’m for the put the young draft pick in and let him learn from the teams current position…
     

    snapping turtle

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    So who do we all want as a “bridge” quarterback next season?

    Ryan, Foles, and Ehlinger will likely all be gone. Maybe you can hide Ehlinger on the practice squad.

    Who’s going to be the starter for half a season while a rookie gets his feet under him?

    Marcus Mariota? Teddy Bridgewater? Tyler Huntley? Gardner Minshew?
    Jamison Winston. He throws lots of touchdowns just to many to the defense.
     
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