2016 Electoral College polling thread

[ArcadiaGP]

Pennsylvania (Bloomberg, 10/7-11)

Clinton 51%
Trump 42%

Senate race:
McGinty (D) 47%
Toomey (R) 45%

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Also Trump campaign is planning to pull out of Virginia — sources tell NBC News

 

[jamil]

I heard a segment on Steele and Ungar on XM, where Michael Steele said that much of the campaign funds from the GOP will now be used to support congressional campaigns, and that Trump is basically on his own, financially. He'll have to rely on what he can fund-raise himself or his own money. I suppose that should **** off the Trumpers, but Trump has brought much of this on himself by his own behavior. If you want people to support you, especially financially, you are indeed beholding to them. Financial support is never without strings.

I've seen some Trump commercials in Indiana lately and I'm pretty shocked by that. I don't think the adds were funded by Trump's campaign, I think it was a super pac or some .org. However, if supporters need to advertise for him here, that says a lot about the state of his campaign. Pulling from a swing state so you can shore up states that are supposed to be your base is not a good sign.

 

[hoosierdoc]

Also Trump campaign is planning to pull out of Virginia — sources tell NBC News

is that a double entendre?

 

[jamil]

is that a double entendre?

So one meaning something like a coitus interruptus? Doesn't seem all that necessary given the polling.

 

[T.Lex]

Might be better for everyone if the coitus happening to all of us gets interruptus'd before the inauguration.

 

[jamil]

Might be better for everyone if the coitus happening to all of us gets interruptus'd before the inauguration.

Each side thinks the other is coitusing them. But everyone except an elite few are getting coitus'd with no interruptus.

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Each side thinks the other is coitusing them. But everyone except an elite few are getting coitus'd with no interruptus.

Brings up a very important point: Can I tell someone to "Go Coitus Yourself" and not get infracted

 

[jamil]

Brings up a very important point: Can I tell someone to "Go Coitus Yourself" and not get infracted

Probably would depend on context. In a status update kind of thread where it's obvious everyone is just coitusing around, probably not. If there is actually animosity or tension between the parties, yeah. You're probably gonna be coitus'd by mod.

 

[T.Lex]

Brings up a very important point: Can I tell someone to "Go Coitus Yourself" and not get infracted

Isn't getting coitus'd and infracted kinda redundant? Or maybe, too much of a good thing?

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Probably would depend on context. In a status update kind of thread where it's obvious everyone is just coitusing around, probably not. If there is actually animosity or tension between the parties, yeah. You're probably gonna be coitus'd by mod.

Isn't getting coitus'd and infracted kinda redundant? Or maybe, too much of a good thing?

I think we all covered some important ground here today.

 

[ArcadiaGP]

FAU (Florida) poll:

Clinton 49
Trump 43

Taken post-tape, pre-debate, pre-groping allegations.

FAU Poll Shows Clinton Opening Six-Point Lead over Trump in Critical Battleground of Florida

 

[T.Lex]

My gut tells me FL is closer than that, as it usually is. But wondering what impact this will have on GA and NC.

 

[GodFearinGunTotin]

 

[ArcadiaGP]

PENNSYLVANIA

President:
Clinton (D) 48%
Trump (R) 39%
Johnson (L) 6%
Stein (G) 4%
(Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co., LV, 10/7-11)

 

[printcraft]

 

[jamil]

My gut tells me FL is closer than that, as it usually is. But wondering what impact this will have on GA and NC.

I'm not sure how accurate any of this poling is. I've heard a compelling argument that a significant portion of voters think both candidates are horrible, and have chosen a candidate just to prevent the other from winning, but have difficult time admitting to anyone, including pollsters, that they're voting for the one they chose. I kinda think if that's true, given the media Trump shaming blitz happening, it would probably favor Trump.

 

[T.Lex]

Well yeah - if people are lying about favoring HRC, then that helps DJT.

I think those polling-respondents would be more likely to say "I hate both of them" and go into the Undecided/Uncommitted group.

If they tell the pollster, "I'm voting Thing 1 just to keep Thing 2 from winning, then that would be honestly reflected in the results favoring Thing 1.

Turnout is always important, but this year it is different because the risk is different. Typically, both parties can rely on the base for a certain number/percentage of votes. This year, both bases are cracked, perhaps even fractured. Which means it is up to the non-base voters, so it will be unpredictable.

 

[ArcadiaGP]

North Carolina poll (Suffolk)

Clinton 45% (+4 since early Sept.)
Trump 43% (-1)
Johnson 5% (+1)

NCsen

Burr 40% (-1)
Ross 36% (-1)

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Fox News national poll (change from last):
Clinton 45 (+1)
Trump 38 (-4)
Johnson 7 (+1)