The Republican Primary Race Is Filling Up

[Dean C.]

Liberal states like liberal candidates. This is the state of the Union.

Like him or not, Cruz is the only candidate that even mentions the Constitution at all during his campaign speeches. One thing this campaign has really driven home for me it that many "conservatives" care as little for Constitutional restraint and governance as do most liberals.

I think the very definition of "Conservative" is changing right before everyone's eyes at this point that is part of the fluid nature of social values and public perception. Also Trump killed it tonight the people are waking up and realizing just how bad Lyin' Ted and Kasich really are.
[video=youtube;pgr4dQXpqKI]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pgr4dQXpqKI[/video]

 

[T.Lex]

If a white woman can claim to be black, Trump can claim to be conservative.

If a man can claim to be a woman, Trump can claim to be a conservative.

If an admitted socialist can legitimately win major party delegates to a national convention, Trump can claim to be a conservative.

It doesn't mean he is actually one.

In terms of today's numbers, Kasich is frankly the big winner. Certainly exceeded expectations. Yet, Trump simply met them. In fact, he probably should've done better.

Regardless, I'm not sure he won enough yet to say with any certainty that he'll reach 1237. He'll have to beat Cruz (and Kasich) in Indiana by the same margin he won out east. If Cruz can stay within 10 percentage points, I'm not sure Trump can make it.

 

[MisterChester]

Liberal states like liberal candidates. This is the state of the Union.

Like him or not, Cruz is the only candidate that even mentions the Constitution at all during his campaign speeches. One thing this campaign has really driven home for me it that many "conservatives" care as little for Constitutional restraint and governance as do most liberals.

Because that is the only crutch Cruz has left to stand on by portraying himself as such. There is always a constitutionalist vacuum in the GOP primaries. The closest any one of them came to being a true constitutionalist was Rand, and he dropped out so Cruz decided to fill that void and market himself that way. With his background he could have taken the Huckabee approach, a populist evangelical conservative, but that's a terrible strategy.

 

[printcraft]

Pennsylvania	Votes	Percent	Del.	(53%)
Trump	342,087	58.1	17
Cruz	125,602	21.3	0
Kasich	107,526	18.3	0

Maryland	Votes	Percent	Del.	(31%)
Trump	120,036	56.2	29
Kasich	46,125	21.6	0
Cruz	39,751	18.6

Connecticut	Votes	Percent	Del.	(63%)
Trump	89,449	59.1	28
Kasich	40,851	27.0	0
Cruz	17,745	11.7	0

Rhode Island	Votes	Percent	Del.	(95%)
Trump	36,714	64.2	9
Kasich	13,919	24.3	5
Cruz	5,834	10.2	0

Rhode Island	Votes	Percent	Del.	(95%)
Trump	36,714	64.2	9
Kasich	13,919	24.3	5
Cruz	5,834	10.2	0

Hmmm. Look at those voter percentages. Something something ceiling something.
Cruz last in all but one

There is something wrong with your charts. They are not displaying correctly because they have Trump in the high 50's & 60%'s and he can't do better than 35%.... Weird.

 

[Route 45]

 

[Route 45]

 

[jamil]

I think the very definition of "Conservative" is changing right before everyone's eyes at this point that is part of the fluid nature of social values and public perception. Also Trump killed it tonight the people are waking up and realizing just how bad Lyin' Ted and Kasich really are.

Seems like a good market for snake oil on the east coast.

 

[jamil]

There is something wrong with your charts. They are not displaying correctly because they have Trump in the high 50's & 60%'s and he can't do better than 35%.... Weird.

No. It is weird. You know. The east coast.

 

[jamil]

It seems the Trumpers who've traditionally thought of themselves as conservatives, have gone one of two ways. They either accept that Trump is indeed not conservative, and have decided that they themselves are no longer conservatives, or insist that Trump really is conservative, despite the contrary evidence.

 

[Landon]

He'll have to beat Cruz (and Kasich) in Indiana by the same margin he won out east. If Cruz can stay within 10 percentage points, I'm not sure Trump can make it.

Why? From my understanding he just needs to do better, whether that's 1% or 30%, in Indiana to collect a majority of the delegates. Sure he may loose a few congressional districts, but he would still get a vast majority.

 

[cobber]

Liberal states like liberal candidates. This is the state of the Union.

Like him or not, Cruz is the only candidate that even mentions the Constitution at all during his campaign speeches. One thing this campaign has really driven home for me it that many "conservatives" care as little for Constitutional restraint and governance as do most liberals.

If America doesn't elect a President who knows and gives a damn about the Constitution, then it's game, set, match. And welcome in a new era of progress.

 

[chipbennett]

~370 delegates ahead of Cruz. Wow.

Actually, about 450 ahead of Cruz:

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 ? Republican Delegate Count
2016 Election Center ? Presidential Primaries and Caucuses ? 2016 Election Center ? CNNPolitics.com

Trump has either 950 or 988 pledged delegates (I'm not currently sure why there is such a discrepancy). Trump now has at or over 1,000 total delegates, including the unbound PA delegates that are either Trump delegates, or who pledged to vote for the winner of their congressional district. Trump secured 40+ of the 54 unbound PA delegates.

 

[jamil]

If America doesn't elect a President who knows and gives a damn about the Constitution, then it's game, set, match. And welcome in a new era of progress.

I'm not sure America knows enough about the Constitution to know what giving a damn about it would look like.

 

[chipbennett]

Liberal states like liberal candidates. This is the state of the Union.

Like him or not, Cruz is the only candidate that even mentions the Constitution at all during his campaign speeches. One thing this campaign has really driven home for me it that many "conservatives" care as little for Constitutional restraint and governance as do most liberals.

Or, maybe there are more and more conservatives who are getting politically savvy enough to see through snake oil salesmen like Ted Cruz, who wields support for the constitution the same way he brandishes the Bible.

 

[ArcadiaGP]

snake oil salesmen like Ted Cruz...

What does that make Trump?

And side-question to anyone:

Why have the INGO Trump supporters not acknowledged the "playing a part" thing? The con is real. Are we just ignoring it?

 

[nate77]

Or, maybe there are more and more conservatives who are getting politically savvy enough to see through snake oil salesmen like Ted Cruz, who wields support for the constitution the same way he brandishes the Bible.

Nicely stated.

 

[chipbennett]

In terms of today's numbers, Kasich is frankly the big winner. Certainly exceeded expectations. Yet, Trump simply met them. In fact, he probably should've done better.

Utter and complete nonsensical spin. (I suppose we're safe from the apocalypse for at least another day. )

Trump gained over 600K votes, 100-150 delegates, and won five states by 55-65%, exceeding the polling.

Kasich gained under 250K votes, and 10 delegates.

Regardless, I'm not sure he won enough yet to say with any certainty that he'll reach 1237. He'll have to beat Cruz (and Kasich) in Indiana by the same margin he won out east. If Cruz can stay within 10 percentage points, I'm not sure Trump can make it.

Indiana is no longer a "must-win" for Trump. NJ, CA, and WV should be more than enough to push him over 1237. Indiana will just be icing on the cake.

Trump may well end up in the 1300-1400 delegate range.

 

[jamil]

Or, maybe there are more and more conservatives who are getting politically savvy enough to see through snake oil salesmen like Ted Cruz, who wields support for the constitution the same way he brandishes the Bible.

Or, they're so enamored with their current snake oil salesman they only see the other snake oil salesman's faults. They're both snake oil salesmen. The biggest difference is they're selling oil from different snakes.

 

[chipbennett]

It seems the Trumpers who've traditionally thought of themselves as conservatives, have gone one of two ways. They either accept that Trump is indeed not conservative, and have decided that they themselves are no longer conservatives, or insist that Trump really is conservative, despite the contrary evidence.

There are also those of us who recognize that the GOP will never willingly allow a true conservative to be nominated, and the best that we may be able to do is to subvert the corrupt control of the party leadership, so that the people even have a chance of nominating a true conservative.

 

[CountryBoy1981]

Or, maybe there are more and more conservatives who are getting politically savvy enough to see through snake oil salesmen like Ted Cruz, who wields support for the constitution the same way he brandishes the Bible.

And you can't be so naive that you think Trump, who has been a Democrat and supported Democrats the majority of his life cares about the Constitution. He has flipped on almost every single position but still people vote for the man? I used to think the Republicans did not have the naive and uniformed voters that got Obama elected but seeing Trump get thses votes makes me realize that the Republican voters are the same.