Snowmageddon!

[KellyinAvon]

Snowmageddon: sponsored by Big Bread, Big Egg, and Big Milk.

 

[Brandon]

Explicitly admitted by a TV news producer friend. He told a great story from the 80’s in another state, the weatherman predicted a 2 inch snow but they got 10 inches of snow, the phones blew up with angry viewers complaining and calling the weatherman an idiot. At a later point, the weatherman expected a 2 inch snow but predicted a 10 inch snow, they got the 2 inches of snow. Not a single complaint call and ratings were up for the week.

Using that story as the model I told an Indy news producer that I met, that I believed the media exaggerated the forecasts to get ratings, I expected denials, nope, he laughed and said of course.

Over the years of observation I cannot remember when we got more snow than predicted, maybe close, usually less, sometimes significantly less…

Meh. just a few years ago, maybe 2015, they said we would get a dusting. A couple inches later got a call from the schools saying get in, school is releasing early.

 

[Drewski]

 

[wagyu52]

I deliver propane. Apparently every day after Tuesday no longer exists.

 

[KittySlayer]

These “experts” work with the same data used by “scientist” to predict the end of civilization in two decades from global cooling (1970’s) global warming (2000’s) climate change (can’t get it right so go with this).

 

[gregkl]

Snowmageddon: sponsored by Big Bread, Big Egg, and Big Milk.

I love French toast.

 

[gregkl]

I looked at three different weather sources yesterday. One is calling for 11-17", another 8-12" and a third 0.10". I'd say the aggregate of those three will probably cover what happens. Sheesh. I'll just wait and see.

Though I may get my shovel out from my storage barn and stick it in the garage...

 

[ghuns]

Keep in mind, things like the Euro and GFS are 'models' not forecasts. They represent a possible outcome based on the data they are fed. The closer the storm gets, the better the data they have to work with.

Late last week the models were showing 30-40 inches. They have since cut that almost in half. Later today they'll get data from weather balloons with actual temp and wind readings then we'll see what's what.

 

[armalitesheepdog]

I love French toast.

Don't forget the cinnamon and powdered sugar

 

[daddyusmaximus]

Do you like to wager?

No I do not.

We could get from zero inches to 4 feet.

 

[Ingomike]

Friday... They called for a dusting and we got 3 inches. I think it even caught the street departments off guard.

Meh. just a few years ago, maybe 2015, they said we would get a dusting. A couple inches later got a call from the schools saying get in, school is releasing early.

So are you saying they always get it right? Are you saying they do not embellish for gain? Are you thinking they turn every dusting into snowmageden?

 

[flatlander]

Indy and surrounding counties get overwhelmed with 1/2" ! No matter what, it's going to be a **** show

 

[Mounty09]

So are you saying they always get it right? Are you saying they do not embellish for gain?

I'm saying they are almost always wrong. I would agree that they do embellish for gain but even sometimes that get that wrong.

I for one am hoping we get everything and more than what they are calling for. I'm just hoping we don't get ice. I do have the generator ready though.

 

[KLB]

Keep in mind, things like the Euro and GFS are 'models' not forecasts. They represent a possible outcome based on the data they are fed. The closer the storm gets, the better the data they have to work with.

Late last week the models were showing 30-40 inches. They have since cut that almost in half. Later today they'll get data from weather balloons with actual temp and wind readings then we'll see what's what.

And the "weathermen" give us those model predictions as forecasts.

 

[KLB]

The weather channel ap that is on every smart phone in someone's possession.
These are huge advertising sites with a bit of weather guessing thrown in.
Every click is more money.

Not mine. Weather Underground here. Less obnoxious adds and lets me see the conditions from my weather station instead of the airport 10 miles away.

 

[xwing]

Not mine. Weather Underground here. Less obnoxious adds and lets me see the conditions from my weather station instead of the airport 10 miles away.

+1 for Wunderground. Weather forecasting is always an educated guess, but theirs seems more "educated" than many of the others.

Not looking forward to Thursday. They shut down school here for a dusting, and our street gets very dangerous after an inch. Will be interesting (bad) to see what happens with a real snowfall.

 

[BiscuitsandGravy]

I forgot the morons at the Weather Channel decided unilaterally to name winter storms. Glad I don't watch tv much anymore. Idiots.

 

[stocknup]

Snowmageddon: sponsored by Big Bread, Big Egg, and Big Milk.

Big Red should have wrote that one .....................

 

[PRasko]

Weather.gov said 3 to 5. Weather.com said 1 to 18. And wsbt said 1 to 3.

All I care is, do I have enough beer til the plows clear the roads?

 

[KellyinAvon]

In Iceland the Navy did the weather. When we were closing the Rockville radar site I’d always bet against their forecast. It worked well, they were usually wrong.

OH!! Another Military BS story for that thread!!