The problem with this argument is you can never know who will end up kiling another. Restricting the rights of a group of people based upon "what-ifs" is not logical. Also, narrowing down people into the "mentally ill" category presents its own issues. Who exactly is mentally ill, and according to whom? In a free society, you will have consequences because of that freedom. Restricting those freedoms because of rare occurrences will lead to greater injustices.Gosh, only 3% killed somebody else? Well, no reason to intervene then. 1,000 to 1,500 murders done by suicidal people is simply par for the course and we should just accept it.
Oh, by the way, how many INGO members used their gun to protect themselves or others from an assault this week? Anywhere near 3%? Probably more like 0%? Yet we rail against a business that won't let us carry because we may need to protect ourselves. In that situation we'll say its not the odds, its the stakes. But mentally ill people with a gun? Ah, who cares about 1,000 to 1,500 citizens killed, we shouldn't bother to intervene because the odds are just so low.
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