Let us not forget Murkowski actually lost a primary in 2010 as an incumbent then turned around and ran as a write in and won the general. She is not above trying to do anything to keep her seat. She and her cronies pushed to implement rank choice voting and given her past I would bet dollars to doughnuts they did so because they thought it would give her an advantage and avoid having to run in a heads-up Republican primary.If it were like a regular primary system where Murkouski and Tshibaka run head to head, where only republicans vote in their own primary, and Democrats vote in theirs, maybe Tshibaka beats Murkouski because not many moderates show up to vote in primaries. It's Alaska so whichever republican wins the primary, presumably wins the general. So Tshibaka won a primary she would end up winning the general election and I suppose INGO would rejoice.
But, in that general election, roughly half of Republicans in Alaska would have to hold their noses to vote for Tshibaka. So they don't get who they want. And the Democrats don't get who they want because they live in a red state. Best they could hope for is the moderate Republican.
Ranked choice isn't good for radicals because they can't exploit the advantage primaries give them of being more motivated to go vote in primary elections.
Ranked choice is better for reflecting the overall values of the state of the jurisdiction in which they're voting. If the state is heavily Trumper, then the Trumper candidate will probably win even in ranked choice.
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