Iowa Caucuses Thread

[ArcadiaGP]

Based on returns so far, Cruz is beating the RCP average by 5%, Trump is underperforming by 2.5%, and Rubio is over performing by 3.5%.

Rubio and Cruz, if they both finish over 20%, will be the big winners here.


Clinton leads Iowa Democratic caucus at 51% with 64% precincts reporting; Bernie Sanders at 49%

 

[Sling10mm]

Or he might just throw a tantrum, pout, and go away. Best case scenario of course.

^^^^^ THIS!^^^^^

 

[ArcadiaGP]

50% REPORTING:
Cruz 28.9%
Trump 25.2%
Rubio 21.1%
Cruz holding steady, Rubio gaining ground on Trump.


if Trump loses Iowa... does he boycott the entire state or just tweet each resident and call them losers?

Edit: AoS Decision Desk is predicting Cruz to win Iowa caucus.

 

[CountryBoy1981]

Or he might just throw a tantrum, pout, and go away. Best case scenario of course.

One could only hope.

 

[ArmedProgrammer]

Or he might just throw a tantrum, pout, and go away. Best case scenario of course.

two out of three ain't bad... unfortunately, he won't simply go away.

 

[ArcadiaGP]

They're reporting that GOP turnout is way up but it’s not helping Trump. Expect stories of people going to GOP caucuses to simply vote against him.

If things hold, we have Cruz and Rubio significantly outperforming. If Trump loses in NH, this becomes Cruz vs Rubio to the end.

noteworthy: Rand Paul beating every establishment candidate. Bush, Kasich, Christie.

 

[Tooms]

They're reporting that GOP turnout is way up but it’s not helping Trump. Expect stories of people going to GOP caucuses to simply vote against him.

If things hold, we have Cruz and Rubio significantly outperforming

It seems to be helping Rubio a lot. I wasnt expecting him to be this close to Cruz and Trump to be honest. The late deciders poll showed the majority of them were voting for Rubio.

 

[KG1]

They're reporting that GOP turnout is way up but it’s not helping Trump. Expect stories of people going to GOP caucuses to simply vote against him.

If things hold, we have Cruz and Rubio significantly outperforming. If Trump loses in NH, this becomes Cruz vs Rubio to the end.

noteworthy: Rand Paul beating every establishment candidate. Bush, Kasich, Christie.

Operation Chaos.

 

[Thor]

two out of three ain't bad... unfortunately, he won't simply go away.

Hey, I said best case...I can dream...

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Imagine how far down Trump is going to go in the polls once these other candidates start dropping out. This is going to get real interesting, real soon.

All these media early polls that predicted Trump in double-digit leads? Not even close.

 

[tyrajam]

I'd just like to vote in the general election for a candidate I'm excited about once in my life. My first election I could vote I held my nose and voted against Clinton, and it's been the same ever since. The lesser of two evils. Rand Paul is my man, but if Cruz actually can grab the nomination...I would be beyond excited

 

[ArcadiaGP]

O'Malley suspending his campaign. Breaking... not that it matters. That's probably good for Sanders, though.

 

[voidsherpa]

noteworthy: Rand Paul beating every establishment candidate. Bush, Kasich, Christie.

That Rhino Rubio is suddenly an outsider....?

 

[ArcadiaGP]

75% in.

28 cruz, 25 trump, 22 rubio. I'm happy, VERY happy, with these results. This is likely how it'll be wrapping up. Trump's lead over Rubio just dropped to 2.3%

That Rhino Rubio is suddenly an outsider....?

Among the rest, I meant.

 

[jamil]

Okay, can we finally say that Trump made a mistake by skipping the debate?

 

[Jludo]

Okay, can we finally say that Trump made a mistake by skipping the debate?

No, "How stupid are the voters of Iowa?" - Donald Trump

 

[GodFearinGunTotin]

75% in.

28 cruz, 25 trump, 22 rubio. I'm happy, VERY happy, with these results. This is likely how it'll be wrapping up. Trump's lead over Rubio just dropped to 2.3%



Among the rest, I meant.

Of the outstanding precincts or caucus sites, is there thoughts on which candidate they'll likely support?

 

[Landon]

No, "How stupid are the voters of Iowa?" - Donald Trump

I'd place money on he points out how Iowa does not pick the eventual nominee ever. Iowans are Losers!

 

[Baba Looey]

Got to give them republican Iowan caucus goers credit. They got it right. Now the dems they are not so bright.

 

[CountryBoy1981]

I'd just like to vote in the general election for a candidate I'm excited about once in my life. My first election I could vote I held my nose and voted against Clinton, and it's been the same ever since. The lesser of two evils. Rand Paul is my man, but if Cruz actually can grab the nomination...I would be beyond excited

Same here. I like Rand but don't think people are ready for him yet. Cruz is a big step in the right direction.