As for the London group, any estimate is based on reasonable guesses based on the (hopefully) best available information when the numbers and factors are analyzed. Given that COVID-19 is a heretofore unseen threat, and that responses are being improved daily based on an ever-evolving situation, it might be a very educated guess, but in the end, merely an estimate.
Experiences in other countries have varied dramatically, depending on the population's response, available healthcare assets, public health measures, etc. We don't really have a solid go-by right now.
Experiences in other countries have varied dramatically, depending on the population's response, available healthcare assets, public health measures, etc. We don't really have a solid go-by right now.