Beer Virus V

[frenchiectfd2203]

bullet virus strikes india... I guess we can hope it happens here...

https://www.cnn.com/2020/12/08/india/india-illness-nickel-lead-intl-scli/index.html

COVID treatment l!!

 

[dusty88]

Indeed.

But, check my math. US population = ~330M. The pandemic will absolutely be over (herd immunity conjecture notwithstanding) once everyone has been exposed and their case resolved. With a CFR (Case Fatality Rate) of 1%, then 1% of 330M is 3.3M.

Ok, let's say the CFR is less than that and herd immunity kicks in at 2/3 infected. That's still ~2M dead Americans. And we're more than 10% of the way there.



I stopped caring about the WHO pretty early. And the guidance from the CDC through this has been... suspect. I don't expect much better from the Biden administration, either.

tough to tell what the real IFR is

Here's some other info that could be used for a thumb-in-the-air estimate of total population deaths. This was an area of Brazil where the pandemic went pretty much unmitigated for a few months. Serology was used to estimate prevalence, and they think about 70% of the population was infected. https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/12/07/science.abe9728/tab-pdf

The final death toll estimated from confirmed Covid deaths and uncomfirmed with similar disease patterns ended up being 2.6 per 1000 population.

Would the US be similar? We have better healthcare but it suffers with high case load. I think we have a lot more obesity and heart disease, but I'm not sure.

If we just use the same numbers, that would be about 850K dead

 

[T.Lex]

Would the US be similar? We have better healthcare but it suffers with high case load. I think we have a lot more obesity and heart disease, but I'm not sure.

Yeah, there's a multitude of variables, and in some ways it feels like certain things since April haven't really changed in that regard.

 

[HoughMade]

Yeah, there's a multitude of variables, and in some ways it feels like certain things since April haven't really changed in that regard.

Some things have changed since April. I was obese then. I am now only slightly overweight.

 

[T.Lex]

Some things have changed since April. I was obese then. I am now only slightly overweight.

I'm stuck in the "just 10 more pounds to lose" phase. But, my BP is consistently better than it was back then.

 

[HoughMade]

I'm stuck in the "just 10 more pounds to lose" phase. But, my BP is consistently better than it was back then.

Huzzah!

At 6'3", I officially break into the "ideal weight range" at 200 and below. I am 205/06.

To keep it thread specific, I had some blood drawn today for normal tests to keep my comorbidities under control. I had them throw in an antibody test. I am not expecting a positive on that one..but the vampires were taking the blood anyhow.

 

[Ark]

There either a pandemic or there isn't. All I care about is when restrictions are reduced and eliminated and that is only tangentially related to whether there is a dictionary-definition pandemic going on.

In Indiana, as of late June and July, we were getting really close to the restrictions being removed and there was certainly still a pandemic. The key, at the time, was that there was plenty of ICU/hospital capacity and a relatively low transmission rate.

We are long past deluding ourselves into believing these decisions have anything to do with actual science or data.

 

[HoughMade]

We are long past deluding ourselves into believing these decisions have anything to do with actual science or data.

Whatevs.

 

[nonobaddog]

Biden pledges to distribute 100 million vaccination shots.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/biden-pledges-100-million-vaccine-shots-in-100-days-to-fight-covid-11607455764

Well, since Trump already bought those 100 million shots - what the hell else would be done with them?

 

[jsharmon7]

My mom called me about an experience she had tonight. She was in line at a grocery store behind a guy with a gun and a body camera. He was ranting about this virus being a hoax and it doesn’t exist. He then demanded that she agree with him. She told him she is a nurse and it’s absolutely real. He then cussed at her and called her names. This year has really exposed the crazy.

 

[jamil]

There’s an obvious question. I’m not gonna ask. I guess I can just leave it to my imagination.

 

[JettaKnight]

There’s an obvious question. I’m not gonna ask. I guess I can just leave it to my imagination.

Ah, you want to know if he had a CCW sash, huh?

 

[jsharmon7]

There’s an obvious question. I’m not gonna ask. I guess I can just leave it to my imagination.

She said he was in his 70s, definitely not a police officer. No mask. Said a lot of other crazy stuff apparently. INGO username??

 

[Route 45]

I don't think you should just take a shot in the dARK when guessing who it may be.

Besides, I haven't seen any BIG RED flags to suggest that he's a member here.

 

[jamil]

Some news about the pfizer vaccine. Beware if you’ve had anaphylactic reactions.
https://apnews.com/article/uk-allergic-reaction-pfizer-vaccine-64ddccd70c38a39f880da27941db3540

 

[ditcherman]

When Biden is inaugurated?

Yea, just don't know why the purple.

 

[Ingomike]

We are long past deluding ourselves into believing these decisions have anything to do with actual science or data.

And they are taking away the decision making from doctors and patients and giving it to the bureaucracy...

[h=1]Doctors tell Senate they're attacked for saving COVID patients[/h]https://www.wnd.com/2020/12/doctors-tell-senate-attacked-saving-covid-patients/

 

[Alpo]

I don't think you should just take a shot in the dARK when guessing who it may be.

Besides, I haven't seen any BIG RED flags to suggest that he's a member here.

Would you please say that louder? Step closer to the IngoMic-rophone.

 

[dusty88]

Some news about the pfizer vaccine. Beware if you’ve had anaphylactic reactions.
https://apnews.com/article/uk-allergic-reaction-pfizer-vaccine-64ddccd70c38a39f880da27941db3540

That's true for every vaccine, AFAIK

It's best for people with tendency to allergic reactions to get the vaccine at a medical facility and hang around for about 30 minutes.

They can also be pre-medicated to reduce the chance of a reaction if they have a known risk.

 

[HoughMade]

That's true for every vaccine, AFAIK

It's best for people with tendency to allergic reactions to get the vaccine at a medical facility and hang around for about 30 minutes.

They can also be pre-medicated to reduce the chance of a reaction if they have a known risk.

Vaccines and every other substance which is injected.