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2016 Electoral College polling thread
- Thread starter T.Lex
- Start date
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hoosierdoc
Freed prisoner
Everything breaking for trump now it seems
While OH and FL are still tight - which is probably good for Trump - GA looks within the MOE. That's bad, as it has been pretty consistently red.
Eastern seaboard still looks like the place to watch this election night. We'll probably have a good idea who'll win by the time we go to bed.
That's as close as I'll get to a prediction.
Eastern seaboard still looks like the place to watch this election night. We'll probably have a good idea who'll win by the time we go to bed.
That's as close as I'll get to a prediction.
Methodology says more women and more demoncrats polled, again ...... shocker.
Would you expect anything different from a media that does things like this.
CNN edits out Clinton reference to NY explosion as 'bombing' | TheHill
CBS News Edits Out Embarrassing Verbal Slip in Bill Clinton Interview (UPDATED) | Mediaite
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball
Electoral College: Trump’s standing improves across the map
Table 1: Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings changes
Our Electoral College changes this week are considerable.
First of all, Florida, Nevada, and North Carolina, three diverse, growing states, move from Leans Democratic to Toss-up. Polls have been close in all three for months. There are reasons to think Clinton will still win each: She should out-organize and out-advertise Trump in the trio, which may especially be vital in the Sunshine (Mega)State, as Politico’s Marc Caputo recently noted. But Florida barely voted for Obama in 2012, and Clinton has had persistent weakness in Nevada. You could argue that North Carolina may be the likeliest of the three to vote for Clinton, strange-sounding since the state didn’t even back Obama in 2012 (but did in 2008). But beyond Trump, Republicans have local problems there — Gov. Pat McCrory (R) is unpopular and is a slight underdog for reelection. Be that as it may, all three states look like coin flips to us, as does the single electoral vote in Nebraska’s Second Congressional District.
Trump’s strength with white voters who do not have a college degree is especially helpful to him in Iowa and Ohio, two places where Trump’s polling has been strong lately...
Electoral College: Trump’s standing improves across the map
Table 1: Crystal Ball Electoral College ratings changes
Our Electoral College changes this week are considerable.
First of all, Florida, Nevada, and North Carolina, three diverse, growing states, move from Leans Democratic to Toss-up. Polls have been close in all three for months. There are reasons to think Clinton will still win each: She should out-organize and out-advertise Trump in the trio, which may especially be vital in the Sunshine (Mega)State, as Politico’s Marc Caputo recently noted. But Florida barely voted for Obama in 2012, and Clinton has had persistent weakness in Nevada. You could argue that North Carolina may be the likeliest of the three to vote for Clinton, strange-sounding since the state didn’t even back Obama in 2012 (but did in 2008). But beyond Trump, Republicans have local problems there — Gov. Pat McCrory (R) is unpopular and is a slight underdog for reelection. Be that as it may, all three states look like coin flips to us, as does the single electoral vote in Nebraska’s Second Congressional District.
Trump’s strength with white voters who do not have a college degree is especially helpful to him in Iowa and Ohio, two places where Trump’s polling has been strong lately...
Yes, Trump Could Win. Emphasis on 'Could.' | National Review
Side note, unrelated: "Could" is one of those words you look at a few times and it completely loses all meaning. Could. Could... so wierd.
Jim Geraghty said:
Side note, unrelated: "Could" is one of those words you look at a few times and it completely loses all meaning. Could. Could... so wierd.
Not a well-established CO poll, but first real CO poll in a long time.
Clinton up 44-35.
University jumps into politics | GJSentinel.com
Edit: Also LA Times/USC tracking poll:
Trump 45
Clinton 43
And Roanoke College Virginia poll (change from last):
Clinton 44 (-4)
Trump 37 (+5)
Johnson 8 (unchanged)
Stein 1 (-2)
Also, Republicans are getting outspent right now in two Senate races: PA and NH, where Dems appear to be going all in
http://www.nationalreview.com/artic...-gop-spending-lags-new-hampshire-pennsylvania
Clinton up 44-35.
University jumps into politics | GJSentinel.com
Edit: Also LA Times/USC tracking poll:
Trump 45
Clinton 43
And Roanoke College Virginia poll (change from last):
Clinton 44 (-4)
Trump 37 (+5)
Johnson 8 (unchanged)
Stein 1 (-2)
Also, Republicans are getting outspent right now in two Senate races: PA and NH, where Dems appear to be going all in
http://www.nationalreview.com/artic...-gop-spending-lags-new-hampshire-pennsylvania
Last edited:
Here's a pretty detailed NC poll. Overall Trump and Clinton tied at 41%... that's 18% undecided or third party. Pretty big piece of pie.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...s&contentPlacement=1&pgtype=sectionfront&_r=1
White Voters:
Clinton 28%
Trump 53%
Black Voters:
Clinton 86%
Trump 3%
College degree:
Clinton 39%
Trump 38%
Other 23%
No degree:
Clinton 17%
Trump 66%
Other 17%
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...s&contentPlacement=1&pgtype=sectionfront&_r=1
White Voters:
Clinton 28%
Trump 53%
Black Voters:
Clinton 86%
Trump 3%
College degree:
Clinton 39%
Trump 38%
Other 23%
No degree:
Clinton 17%
Trump 66%
Other 17%
Lots of polling today!
2016 Presidential Swing State Polls Poll - September 22, 2016 - Trump Narrows Gap In Colorado, | Quinnipiac University Connecticut
Q poll
likely voters Colorado:
Clinton 44%
Trump 42%
Johnson 10%
Stein 2%
likely voters Georgia:
Trump 47%
Clinton 40%
Johnson 9%
likely voters Iowa:
Trump 44%
Clinton 37%
Johnson 10%
Stein 2%
likely voters Virginia:
Clinton 45%
Trump 39%
Johnson 8%
Stein 1%
2016 Presidential Swing State Polls Poll - September 22, 2016 - Trump Narrows Gap In Colorado, | Quinnipiac University Connecticut
Q poll
likely voters Colorado:
Clinton 44%
Trump 42%
Johnson 10%
Stein 2%
likely voters Georgia:
Trump 47%
Clinton 40%
Johnson 9%
likely voters Iowa:
Trump 44%
Clinton 37%
Johnson 10%
Stein 2%
likely voters Virginia:
Clinton 45%
Trump 39%
Johnson 8%
Stein 1%
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