The OFFICIAL Trump/HRC/2016 General Election Thread...

[Joe G]

I just tuned in to FOX news, and Mike Pences plane skidded off a runway .....

Anyone hear about this ?????

 

[miguel]

Ron Brown II.

 

[IndyDave1776]

John Anderson/Jon Andersson - where did all those Swedes come from?

Sweden?

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Trump has been telling people he's matching donations (he's donated almost nothing last month).

He actually donated more to Hillary's 2008 campaign than his own campaign this month.

And he gave just $31,000 to his own campaign during first three weeks of October.
All in-kind, no cash

Lot of GOP money going down-ballot where it belongs

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/28/u...prod=nytcore-iphone&smid=nytcore-iphone-share

 

[dusty88]

Trump has been telling people he's matching donations (he's donated almost nothing last month).

He actually donated more to Hillary's 2008 campaign than his own campaign this month.

And he gave just $31,000 to his own campaign during first three weeks of October.
All in-kind, no cash

He didn't need any money to launch his campaign. At the provocation of the DNC, the media did that for him.

 

[T.Lex]

For those questioning polling, Nate Silver addresses it... with numbers, of course.

	LEADING CANDIDATE POLLING MARGIN
YEAR	NO. POLLS	LEADING CANDIDATE	HIGH	LOW	AVERAGE	STD. DEVIATION
1976	3	Jimmy Carter	+4	-1	+1.3	2.5
1980	4	Ronald Reagan	+5	+1	+2.5	1.9
1984	5	Ronald Reagan	+25	+10	+17.2	6.2
1988	8	George H.W. Bush	+19	+4	+9.1	4.8
1992	9	Bill Clinton	+8	+2	+5.7	2.3
1996	8	Bill Clinton	+18	+7	+11.8	3.2
2000	9	George W. Bush	+5	TIE	+2.9	1.8
2004	14	George W. Bush	+6	-2	+1.6	2.3
2008	18	Barack Obama	+11	+5	+7.6	1.8
2012	22	Barack Obama	+4	-1	+1.2	1.5
2016*	22	Hillary Clinton	+14	-1	+5.3	3.6

* 2016 results reflect polls conducted since the third presidential debate, not over the final week of the campaign.

The last number is basically the winning percentage.

Election Update: The Polls Disagree, And That?s OK | FiveThirtyEight

Another snippet:

But it’s not just your imagination if you feel like there’s more variation in the polls than you’re used to.

ETA:
Mic-drop

So although the wide spread in the polls this year may reflect challenges in the polling industry, you shouldn’t make a habit of berating the polls that seem to be outliers or use a somewhat unorthodox methodology. Aggregating mechanisms like polling averages and betting markets are powerful precisely because they reflect a diverse array of approaches and opinions, and they lose their power when they’re subject to herding or groupthink. You also shouldn’t cherry-pick the two or three polls that fit your narrative when there are dozens of them out there, of course. But ignoring or “debunking” the polls you don’t like is often almost as bad a sinas cherry-picking the ones you do like.

 

[AmmoManAaron]

Hillary Clinton In 2013: ?I Would Like To See People Like Donald Trump Run For Office; They?re Honest And Can?t Be Bought?

For Hillary that obviously falls into the "be careful what you wish for" column

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Yuengling beer backed Trump this week. You can guess the rest.

 

[AmmoManAaron]

Yuengling beer backed Trump this week. You can guess the rest.

To go along with the theme:
Mexican beer company trolls Trump supporters

 

[Kutnupe14]

Yuengling beer backed Trump this week. You can guess the rest.

Absolutely idiotic, if you're concerned with your bottom line. Hipsters, love that beer (or maybe used to).

 

[foszoe]

Absolutely idiotic, if you're concerned with your bottom line. Hipsters, love that beer (or maybe used to).

If they loved that beer, that shouldn't change.

I think most of the boycott talk, from conservatives or liberals, rarely hits the bottom line that hard, especially after the 1st quarter of earnings post boycott.

Love to see some historical evidence of how product boycotts have worked in the past and their efficacy in modern times.

 

[indiucky]

Absolutely idiotic, if you're concerned with your bottom line. Hipsters, love that beer (or maybe used to).

A lot of Hipsters are voting for Trump...The whole "anti establishment" thing...Kind of like punk rockers supporting Reagan back in the day....Trump is not not status quo....Cool people rebel against status quo...Clinton is status quo..

Marketing genius IMHO.....

(As Kut hums Huey Lewis and the News "It's Hip to be Square"...)

 

[BugI02]

A lot of Hipsters are voting for Trump...The whole "anti establishment" thing...Kind of like punk rockers supporting Reagan back in the day....Trump is not not status quo....Cool people rebel against status quo...Clinton is status quo..

Marketing genius IMHO.....

(As Kut hums Huey Lewis and the News "It's Hip to be Square"...)

But your premise rests on the idea that hipsters are actually cool ... outside their own minds. Personally, all I can think of when I see those tiny, pipe stem legs is 'Get thee to a gymnasium!'

 

[Kutnupe14]

If they loved that beer, that shouldn't change.

I think most of the boycott talk, from conservatives or liberals, rarely hits the bottom line that hard, especially after the 1st quarter of earnings post boycott.

Love to see some historical evidence of how product boycotts have worked in the past and their efficacy in modern times.

Here's a few
Successful Consumer Boycotts: Ethical Consumer

 

[Expat]

But your premise rests on the idea that hipsters are actually cool ... outside their own minds. Personally, all I can think of when I see those tiny, pipe stem legs is 'Get thee to a gymnasium!'

Yes, but do they wear a man bun?

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Related to the election, there's been a development in the FBI investigation.

Looks like meats back on the menu

https://www.indianagunowners.com/fo...-state-dept-raises-flags-183.html#post6793241

 

[BugI02]

View attachment 50877

 

[BugI02]

Related to the election, there's been a development in the FBI investigation.

Looks like meats back on the menu

https://www.indianagunowners.com/fo...-state-dept-raises-flags-183.html#post6793241

Windowdressing. Comey trying to save his ass. I predict nothing will come of it before the election. I predict Comey is still terminado

 

[T.Lex]

Related to the election, there's been a development in the FBI investigation.

Looks like meats back on the menu

https://www.indianagunowners.com/fo...-state-dept-raises-flags-183.html#post6793241

Wow.

And the October Surprise arrives.

Barely.

But it is still October.

 

[ArcadiaGP]

Wow.

And the October Surprise arrives.

Barely.

But it is still October.

Don't worry, an even worse Trump story is going to drop to counter this.