Paulists are rejoicing at the Iowa Caucus polling data but they are idiots for doing so.
Closer scrutiny of the polling data shows a lot more than the simple polls tell and its obvious that:
Look to the various polls from Gallup and PPP and its pretty clear that among "registered voters" Paul is less popular than among "adults." But only "registered voters" are allowed to VOTE.
Closer scrutiny of the polling data shows a lot more than the simple polls tell and its obvious that:
- Many Paul supporters are NON-voters
- Paul does very badly among the Tea Party supporters
- Paul does worse with GOP voters than Independents
Look to the various polls from Gallup and PPP and its pretty clear that among "registered voters" Paul is less popular than among "adults." But only "registered voters" are allowed to VOTE.